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2

Mo Anam Chara

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 74

Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 3-y-o who resumed winning ways on first outing since leaving Mark Fahey returned to a handicap in 10-runner event at Thirsk (7f) 16 days ago. Did it cosily and looks capable of following up from a 7 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 12018/09C8C8 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m73y Sft 128C8 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 12312/11C8BHA68 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 68 · 1m Std 138 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 68 parBHA70 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 70 · 1m Sft 129 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 70 par19/0470OR 70C8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 70 · 7f94y Goo 128 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 70 parC7 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 69 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 69 par7/08C7OR 695 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 67 par14/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thirsk51st1st0
2026-08-07Gowran Park?2nd4th−2
2026-05-18Roscommon?1st4th−3
2026-04-19CurraghBHA7010th12th−2
2025-12-03DundalkBHA682nd4th−2
2025-11-12Dundalk?4th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/093/127/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength82%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20259th40/10%47%+0.47
27/10/20256th20/10%44%+0.44
12/11/20254th66/10%77%+0.77
03/12/20252nd11/486%90%+0.04
19/04/202610th8/158%25%-0.33
18/05/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
07/08/20262nd8/158%91%+0.33
14/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13