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8

Vince Le Prince

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 63

Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 6y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Without a win since 2024 but hasn't been shaping up too badly lately, doing well to finish fourth at Ayr (7f) on most recent outing having gone off too hard. Must enter calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 6f195y Sft 129 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 68 par18/055OR 685 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 7f6y GS 134 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 66 · 7f Goo 131 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 66 par1/075OR 666 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 64 · 7f6y GF 139 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 64 par4 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 66 · 7f219y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 66 par8/084OR 665 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 7f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 65 · 7f15y Gd 135 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 65 par25/086OR 655 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 7f15y Goo 134 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f50y Sft 138 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 64 par17/096OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Ayr64th5th−1
2026-09-12Musselburgh54th4th0
2026-08-25Musselburgh63rd4th−1
2026-08-17Catterick53rd3rd0
2026-08-08Redcar411th10th+1
2026-07-22Catterick62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0522/0725/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
11/06/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29
01/07/202610th6/168%0%-0.68
22/07/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
08/08/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
17/08/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
25/08/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
12/09/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
17/09/20264th3/184%77%-0.07