Zarvali
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 73
Catterick · Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 6y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 74% | +0.74 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 15/09/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |