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4

Dabbling

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 51

Catterick · racingtv.com Handicap · 5f 212y

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless but returned to form in first-time cheekpieces when third of 11 at Thirsk (6f, good) just over 2 weeks ago. Clearly capable of winning a small race if things fall right but consistency has been her Achilles' heel.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 09/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 64 · 5f182y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 64 par9/095OR 645 @ Catterick 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 64 · 5f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Southwell 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 62 · 6f16y Std 132 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 62 par30/046OR 626 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 61 · 5f110y Goo 135 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Beverley 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 57 par23/066OR 576 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 56 par24/076OR 566 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 54 · 7f75y Goo 129 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 52 · 6f Gd 125 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 52 par14/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Thirsk63rd3rd0
2026-08-12Beverley612th12th0
2026-07-24Thirsk66th6th0
2026-07-14Beverley63rd3rd0
2026-06-23Beverley64th4th0
2026-06-04Wetherby65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/094/0624/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20259th2/189%0%-0.89
08/04/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
30/04/20267th11/142%40%-0.02
04/06/20265th8/158%43%-0.15
23/06/20264th11/486%40%-0.46
14/07/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
24/07/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
12/08/202612th22/10%8%+0.08
14/09/20263rd22/10%80%+0.80