3

Profiteer
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52
Catterick · racingtv.com Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Pontefract | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Pontefract | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Nottingham | 2 | 11th | 6th | +4 |
| 2025-09-18 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 02/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/11/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 18/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |