3

Profiteer

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52

Catterick · racingtv.com Handicap · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored twice at Pontefract in October 2024 but winless since and has finished tailed off on both outings this season 4 months apart. Cheekpieces reapplied but can only be watched on recent evidence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 62 par18/075OR 625 @ Pontefract 06/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 63 · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 63 par6 @ Catterick 18/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 63 · 5f212y Goo 138 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 63 par18/086OR 635 @ Pontefract 18/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 62 par2 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 61 · 6f18y Goo 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 61 par2/102OR 615 @ Pontefract 06/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 61 · 6f Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 61 par5 @ Newcastle 01/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 60 · 6f Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 60 par1/115OR 606 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 57 · 5f217y Goo 127 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Pontefract 17/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 55 · 6f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 55 par17/095OR 55projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Pontefract512th11th+1
2026-05-18Redcar611th11th0
2025-11-01Newcastle511th10th+1
2025-10-06Pontefract55th4th+1
2025-10-02Nottingham211th6th+4
2025-09-18Pontefract54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0718/091/1117/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength6%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20252nd2/189%83%-0.06
06/08/20257th13/891%25%-0.66
18/08/20255th7/282%50%-0.32
18/09/20254th15/261%50%-0.11
02/10/202511th16/116%23%+0.07
06/10/20255th9/153%67%+0.14
01/11/202511th9/153%17%-0.36
18/05/202611th28/10%0%0.00
17/09/202612th33/10%0%0.00