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6

Society Charm

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 50

Catterick · racingtv.com Handicap · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seemed to be found out for fitness after 5 months off when third of 12 on handicap debut at Southwell (6f) last month. She remains open to improvement with that under her belt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength79%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 12/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS12/0344 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/0444 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS13/0446 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 52 · 6f16y Std 127 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 52 par31/086OR 52projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell63rd3rd0
2026-04-13Leicester47th5th+2
2026-04-01Kempton47th5th+2
2026-03-12Chelmsford City46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/031/0413/0431/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
01/04/20267th125/10%0%0.00
13/04/20267th250/10%45%+0.45
31/08/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56