4
Green Area
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 79
Catterick · Amstel Gallop Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 13y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength64%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Carlisle | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Doncaster | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Lingfield | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +25.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |