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Secret Beach

5yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 78

Catterick · Amstel Gallop Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 13y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A dual winner at around 1½m for Ben Brookhouse in 2025 who posted just about his best effort for present yard when second at Chester (1¼m) in July. Failed to see his race out when sixth over hurdles in novice at Bangor (17f) 3 weeks ago but better showing anticipated back on Flat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 79 · 1m4f Goo 136 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 79 par25/094OR 793 @ Newbury 17/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m69y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m2f50y Goo 131 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 81 par8/044OR 814 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 80 · 1m4f63y Goo 138 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m3f39y GF 138 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 80 par24/064OR 804 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m3f188y Goo 140 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m2f70y Goo 135 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 78 par25/074OR 784 @ Chester 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m2f70y Gd 142 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m145y Gd 1548/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee46th6th0
2026-08-02Chester44th4th0
2026-07-25Chester42nd2nd0
2026-07-10York44th4th0
2026-06-24Carlisle47th7th0
2026-05-08Chester45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/098/0525/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
17/12/20258th22/10%42%+0.42
08/04/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
08/05/20265th25/10%71%+0.71
24/06/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
10/07/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
25/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
02/08/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
08/09/20266th4/179%29%-0.50