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6

Gwen Tennyson

3yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 47

Catterick · Racing Again 17th October Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Followed a good run with a below-par one when fifth of 6 in handicap (8/1) at Southwell (5f) 27 days ago. Bounce back called for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Catterick 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS30/0546 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 59 · 5f GS 134 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 56 · 5f1y Gd 132 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 56 par30/066OR 566 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 53 · 5f GF 125 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 53 · 5f Goo 127 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 53 par24/076OR 536 @ Catterick 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 49 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 49 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 49 par8/086OR 496 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 49 · 5f1y Goo 127 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 49 · 4f215y Std 123 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 49 par3/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell65th5th0
2026-08-24Musselburgh63rd3rd0
2026-08-08Redcar66th6th0
2026-08-04Catterick62nd2nd0
2026-07-24Thirsk69th9th0
2026-07-15Catterick67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0515/078/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20263rd50/10%60%+0.60
11/06/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
30/06/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
15/07/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
24/07/20269th28/10%0%0.00
04/08/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
08/08/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
24/08/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
03/09/20265th8/158%20%-0.38