4
So Grateful
8yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 49
Catterick · Racing Again 17th October Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Musselburgh | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |