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6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 55

Catterick · Racing Again 17th October Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Given a chance by the assessor and duly took advantage when narrowly winning 6-runner handicap at Ripon (5f) in July. Performed well back up in grade when third behind reopposing Albegone at Musselburgh (5f) and again ran creditably at Redcar since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 60 · 5f Std 135 · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 60 par27/116OR 605 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 58 · 5f Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Redcar 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 57 · 5f GF 133 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 57 par30/046OR 576 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 132 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 55 · 5f1y Gd 135 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 55 par22/066OR 556 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 54 · 5f GF 131 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 54 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 54 par27/076OR 546 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 56 · 5f1y Goo 127 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 129 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 56 par15/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar68th8th0
2026-08-25Musselburgh63rd3rd0
2026-07-27Ripon61st1st0
2026-07-15Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-06-22Musselburgh68th8th0
2026-06-05Thirsk610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/115/0627/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/11/202510th18/15%10%+0.05
13/04/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
30/04/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
05/06/202610th10/147%18%-0.29
22/06/20268th5/174%22%-0.51
15/07/20263rd22/10%75%+0.75
27/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
25/08/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34
15/09/20268th25/10%42%+0.42