IvyArcIvyArc
2

Northman

3yo Gelding · 10-7

Compiegne · Steeple - Chase Du Debut · 2m 1f 32y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 02/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1472/03C?C0 @ Compiegne 01/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f199y Hvy 1471/04C?3 @ Toulouse 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Gd 1522/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Toulouse31st1st0
2026-08-26Clairefontaine40
2026-04-01Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-03-02Compiegne?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/031/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/20264th8/158%70%+0.12
01/04/20265th11/1094%50%-0.44
02/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07