4
Starspirit Gatsby
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Compiegne · Steeple - Chase Du Debut · 2m 1f 32y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/06/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 21/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/05/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |