4
Alice's Saga
3yo Filly · 10-10
Compiegne · Prix D'aix Hurdle · 2m 198y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |