7

Nikaria
3yo Filly · 10-7
Compiegne · Prix D'aix Hurdle · 2m 198y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |