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4

Choeur De Grive

4yo Filly · 10-10

Compiegne · Prix Northerntown Chase · 2m 1f 32y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

69%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 28/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m88y Ver 14328/03C?C0 @ Compiegne 22/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f199y Ver 150C0 @ Auteuil 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1507/10C?C0 @ Auteuil 15/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1431 @ Auteuil 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1457/1211 @ Compiegne 23/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1504 @ Dieppe 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14330/0443 @ Compiegne 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f32y Sft 14328/053projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-28Compiegne31st1st0
2026-04-30Dieppe42nd2nd0
2026-03-23Compiegne14th4th0
2025-12-07Auteuil14th4th0
2025-11-15Auteuil?8th8th0
2025-10-07Auteuil?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0315/1130/0428/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
22/04/20252nd9/488%92%+0.04
07/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
15/11/20258th5/174%30%-0.44
07/12/20254th7/491%50%-0.41
23/03/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
30/04/20262nd11/893%89%-0.04
28/05/20261st1/297%100%+0.03