1
Diamant Du Rheu
4yo Gelding · 11-2
Compiegne · Prix Northerntown Chase · 2m 1f 32y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-20 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-05 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |