2

Macimo Conti
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Compiegne · Prix Northerntown Chase · 2m 1f 32y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Pau | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.12 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |