5
Mec De La Barriere
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Compiegne · Prix Northerntown Chase · 2m 1f 32y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Compiegne | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-11 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -34.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 11/11/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |