3
Muloughboy
4yo Gelding · 10-10
Compiegne · Prix Northerntown Chase · 2m 1f 32y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 16/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 85% | -0.05 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |