7

Popy

4yo Filly · 10-5

Compiegne · Prix Northerntown Chase · 2m 1f 32y

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 04/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f199y Hvy 1474/03C?C0 @ Auteuil 03/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 145C0 @ Compiegne 22/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f199y Ver 15022/04C?C0 @ Compiegne 14/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f199y Ver 147C1 @ Auteuil 31/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 13931/05C1C0 @ Auteuil 09/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 143C0 @ Auteuil 23/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14623/10C?C4 @ Auteuil 15/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1463 @ Compiegne 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f32y Hvy 1419/093projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Compiegne34th4th0
2025-11-15Auteuil?8th8th0
2025-10-23Auteuil?3rd3rd0
2025-09-23Auteuil?0
2025-09-09Auteuil?4th4th0
2025-05-31Auteuil?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0314/0523/109/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/03/20255th18/15%60%+0.55
03/04/20255th16/116%33%+0.18
22/04/20253rd11/271%85%+0.14
14/05/20252nd7/491%86%-0.05
31/05/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
09/09/20254th12/137%70%+0.33
23/10/20253rd22/10%82%+0.82
15/11/20258th7/163%22%-0.41
09/09/20264th25/10%70%+0.70