4
Fanfaron
4yo Gelding · 10-2
Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 25/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 23/02/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |