6
Fiumiccino
4yo Gelding · 10-1
Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/12/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 20/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 02/02/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |