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3

Gorstella

4yo Filly · 10-5

Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Argentan 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y 1456/0354 @ Compiegne 06/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1476/0443 @ Auteuil 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 15025/0431 @ Auteuil 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14612/091projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Auteuil11st1st0
2026-04-25Auteuil31st1st0
2026-04-06Compiegne43rd3rd0
2026-03-06Argentan54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/036/0425/0412/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20264th11/142%79%+0.36
06/04/20263rd15/261%83%+0.23
25/04/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
12/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24