5
Just Happy
4yo Filly · 10-2
Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/05/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |