7

Lunarosa
4yo Filly · 9-13
Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +11.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.14 |