1
Noire Wulf
4yo Filly · 10-13
Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-28 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |