2
Shabrack
4yo Gelding · 10-8
Compiegne · Prix Bucheur Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |