2

Mamazara
4yo Filly · 10-12
Compiegne · Prix Louis Champion Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 09/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 21/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |