5
Missdenuo
4yo Filly · 10-7
Compiegne · Prix Louis Champion Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 09/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |