7
Bubble Pretty
5yo Filly · 10-3
Compiegne · Prix De La Gascogne Chase (grade 3) · 2m 2f 195y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 15/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 06/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |