2
Jaguar Du Berlais
8yo Gelding · 11-0
Compiegne · Prix De La Gascogne Chase (grade 3) · 2m 2f 195y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 94% | +0.09 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |