3

Le Philosophe

7yo Gelding · 10-10

Compiegne · Prix De La Gascogne Chase (grade 3) · 2m 2f 195y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 08/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m5f82y Hvy 141 · HIGHER CLASS8/12C?C0 @ Auteuil 23/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 145 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Compiegne 22/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 14722/04C1C1 @ Compiegne 07/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m4f83y Ver 152C1 @ Auteuil 31/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m5f82y Hvy 14531/05C1C1 @ Compiegne 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 1543 @ Compiegne 06/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1566/043C1 @ Compiegne 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f83y Ver 1471 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m5f191y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASS30/051projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Auteuil12nd2nd+0
2026-05-04Compiegne?2nd2nd0
2026-04-06Compiegne33rd6th−2
2025-10-25Compiegne?+0
2025-10-02Compiegne?4th4th0
2025-05-31Auteuil?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/127/056/0430/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20245th9/276%43%-0.33
23/03/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
22/04/20256th11/271%38%-0.34
07/05/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
31/05/20254th12/137%77%+0.40
02/10/20254th20/10%73%+0.73
06/04/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
04/05/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
30/05/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05