4
Whymper
7yo Gelding · 10-10
Compiegne · Prix De La Gascogne Chase (grade 3) · 2m 2f 195y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 06/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 6/4 | 92% | 13% | -0.80 |