1
Esto Memor
4yo Gelding · 11-4
Compiegne · Prix Bay Archer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Nancy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +28.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |