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4yo Filly · 10-3

Compiegne · Prix Bay Archer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 08/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 1458/05C?C0 @ Pau 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 14331/12C?C8 @ Fontainebleau 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14521/02C8C0 @ Auteuil 12/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14612/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Auteuil?11th11th0
2026-07-17Dieppe?0
2026-03-14Auteuil10
2026-02-21Fontainebleau?3rd3rd0
2026-01-16Pau30
2025-12-31Pau?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0531/1221/0212/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20257th80/10%25%+0.25
31/12/20256th33/10%38%+0.38
21/02/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
12/09/202611th50/10%38%+0.38