14

Brise D'etel
5yo Filly · 10-5
Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/06/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 16/07/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 15/12/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |
| 25/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |