14

Brise D'etel

5yo Filly · 10-5

Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m88y Ver 1451/01C?C0 @ Dieppe 28/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 143C8 @ Clairefontaine 16/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15616/07C8C0 @ Auteuil 13/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 142C0 @ Fontainebleau 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 1504/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 19/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 150C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14315/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 14725/12C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?10th10th0
2025-12-15Cagnes-sur-Mer?12th12th0
2025-11-19Fontainebleau?2nd2nd0
2025-10-04Fontainebleau?5th5th0
2025-09-13Auteuil?6th6th0
2025-08-14Le Lion D'angers?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0113/0915/1225/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
28/06/202511th28/10%9%+0.09
16/07/20258th25/10%42%+0.42
13/09/20256th40/10%64%+0.64
04/10/20255th18/15%60%+0.55
19/11/20252nd10/147%89%+0.42
15/12/202512th7/163%27%-0.36
25/12/202510th20/10%25%+0.25