2
Caitlin's Court
9yo Mare · 11-4
Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | BHA78 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 65% | +0.49 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 02/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 31/12/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 08/09/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |