13
Kimarillo
7yo Gelding · 10-5
Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-07 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |