15

Koniac Wood

6yo Gelding · 10-1

Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y

#9

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fontainebleau 14/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 15614/10C8C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 144C0 @ Fontainebleau 25/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 15025/02C?C0 @ Strasbourg 19/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 147C0 @ Compiegne 14/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 14214/05C?C1 @ Compiegne 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 147C0 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 15317/05C?C8 @ Clairefontaine 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 1544 @ Dieppe 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 15030/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Dieppe45th5th0
2026-08-17Clairefontaine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10Dieppe?0
2026-06-18Dieppe?0
2026-05-17Auteuil?6th6th0
2026-04-21Compiegne?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1019/0417/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20245th40/10%73%+0.73
02/12/20242nd25/10%93%+0.93
25/02/20253rd14/126%71%+0.45
19/04/20255th8/158%60%+0.02
14/05/20259th14/126%47%+0.20
21/04/20266th150/10%0%0.00
17/05/20266th22/10%71%+0.71
17/08/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
30/08/20265th28/10%33%+0.33