5
Martin Guerre
6yo Gelding · 11-3
Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-24 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-19 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-31 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/01/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 19/02/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 24/03/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |