11

Ticatan Ducormier
7yo Gelding · 10-8
Compiegne · Prix De Salers Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#15
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-08 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-07 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-04-09 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +25.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2022 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/04/2023 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 07/12/2024 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |