5
Beautiful Bolt
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |