Peridot Pendant
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |