1
Ritabook
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |