7
Sonadora Girl
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-11-14 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2024 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 27/06/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/08/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 14/11/2024 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 28/02/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |