5

Adios Buster

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 13/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f Gd 118 · below its mark13/09/2024 · OR 65 par13/09C9OR 65C6 @ Gulfstream 06/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 63 · 7f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2024 · OR 63 parC6 @ Gulfstream 01/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2024 · OR 67 par1/11C6OR 67C6 @ Gulfstream 29/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Gulfstream 10/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 74 par10/08C8OR 74C8 @ Gulfstream 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m 120 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Gulfstream 05/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 80 par5/10C8OR 80C7 @ Delaware Park 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Delaware Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m110y Gd 121 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 77 par19/09C7OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Delaware Park?9th9th0
2026-09-10Delaware Park?6th6th0
2025-10-05Gulfstream?3rd4th−1
2025-09-19Gulfstream?4th5th−1
2025-08-10Gulfstream?7th8th−1
2025-06-29Gulfstream?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0929/065/1019/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20244th14/126%40%+0.14
06/10/20245th25/10%56%+0.56
01/11/20241st25/10%100%+1.00
29/06/20257th33/10%0%0.00
10/08/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
19/09/20254th33/10%40%+0.40
05/10/20253rd25/10%67%+0.67
10/09/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
19/09/20269th25/10%0%0.00