Better Then Lotto

4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 50

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.1

Today:

Class gap: -0.6

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-05	Delaware Park	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-08-16	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-08-02	Colonial Downs	?	8th	9th	−1	1.0
2026-06-26	Gulfstream	?	1st	3rd	−2	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength65%

Delivery trend -14.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/06/2026	1st	12/1	37%	100%	+0.63
02/08/2026	8th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
16/08/2026	3rd	14/1	26%	67%	+0.40
05/09/2026	7th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00