Good Willie
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 17/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |