Night Of Magic
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-04-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 23/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 05/04/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |